From China's 918-million-unit tire export surge in 2024 to a $25 billion natural rubber market driving 40% of tire compound costs, the forces reshaping this industry move fast and cut across trade policy, raw materials and vehicle electrification. Our analysis is built on the same primary sources behind our research practice: OICA production data, UN COMTRADE HS 4011 trade flows, and Tire Business Top 75 manufacturer figures, read alongside our ongoing programme of interviews with plant directors, purchasing managers and regulatory officials.

China's tire exports climbed to 918 million units in 2024, a volume large enough to trigger anti-dumping action across four continents and push manufacturers into a multi-country factory relocation strategy that is quietly redrawing the map of global tire production.
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The EV-specific passenger car tire segment is valued at roughly 6.5 billion dollars and is growing faster than any other sub-category in the industry through 2027. But building an EV tire is not a simple substitution of an existing product. It requires new engineering, new homologation cycles, and new manufacturing capability, and the gap between demand growth and manufacturer readiness is becoming the defining bottleneck of the EV transition.
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Natural rubber, a $25 billion global commodity market concentrated in three countries, makes up roughly 40 percent of tire compound weight. Combined with carbon black, steel cord, and a growing basket of specialty inputs, raw material volatility is becoming the single largest source of margin risk for tire manufacturers, and most are still hedging it reactively rather than strategically.
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